Tshaj tawm rau lub Rau Hli 17, 2026, ntau lub chaw xa khoom loj thiab cov tuam txhab nyiaj txiag tau tshaj tawm kev sib koom ua lag luam ceeb toom txog kev rov qhib tag nrho ntawm Hormuz Strait, cov hlab ntsha tseem ceeb hauv hiav txwv nqa ze li ib feem peb ntawm lub ntiaj teb cov roj hauv hiav txwv thiab cov ntim loj ntawm cov khoom thauj.
Tom qab ntau lub hlis ntawm kev sib khom lus hais lus, Tebchaws Meskas thiab Iran tau ua tiav cov ntawv sau tseg ntawm kev tsis sib haum xeeb, nrog rau kev kos npe kos npe rau lub Rau Hli 19 hauv Geneva, Switzerland. Cov tub ceev xwm hauv nroog tau lees paub tias Hormuz Strait yuav qhib tag nrho rau txhua lub nkoj ua lag luam tom qab kos npe. Rau 108 hnub sib law liag yav dhau los, kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv cheeb tsam tau yuam cov kab xa khoom feem ntau kom tso tseg txoj kev hla thiab taug kev ntev nyob ib ncig ntawm Cape of Good Hope, ua rau muaj teeb meem kev lag luam loj.
Cov neeg nqa khoom loj thoob ntiaj teb tau tshaj tawm cov lus teb cov lus teb ib tom qab. Hapag-Lloyd tau hais tias nws yuav npaj tag nrho plaub lub nkoj uas tso tseg hauv Persian Gulf kom hla dhau Hormuz Strait thiab ua tiav kev khiav tawm thaum ntxov lub lim tiam tom ntej. Maersk yuav hloov kho nws lub sijhawm teem caij nkoj ua ntej, maj mam rov qab ncaj qha Asia-Middle East thiab Asia- cov kev hauv Tebchaws Europe hla dhau ntawm ntug dej hiav txwv, thiab tshem tawm Cape kev taug kev ib ntus ntxiv hauv 10 hnub ua haujlwm.
Lub sijhawm ntev - blockade ntawm strait coj cov nuj nqis ntxiv rau cov neeg xa khoom thoob ntiaj teb. Cov nkoj thauj mus rau Cape tau ntsib ntxiv 10 mus rau 14 hnub ntawm lub sijhawm thauj mus los, ntxiv rau cov nqi ntxiv rau kev taug kev, kev pov hwm kev pheej hmoo ua tsov rog thiab cov nqi pheej hmoo siab rau lub caij nyoog, nce tag nrho cov nqi thauj khoom los ntawm 18% mus rau 30% rau Tuam Tshoj-Tebchaws Europe thiab Tuam Tshoj- Middle East xa khoom. High Goldman Sachs tau tshaj tawm tsab ntawv tshaj tawm tshawb fawb thaum Lub Rau Hli 17, taw qhia tias kev rov qhib txoj kev dej yuav tso tawm li 9% -11% ntawm kev kaw thoob ntiaj teb lub peev xwm thauj khoom, thim rov qab cov khoom siv nruj ntawm cov nkoj, thiab tsav tsheb tsis tu ncua ntawm cov nqi thauj khoom.
Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas kev lag luam ceeb toom cov tuam txhab lag luam txawv teb chaws thiab cov neeg ua haujlwm logistics los kho cov phiaj xwm xa khoom kom tsim nyog. Nyob rau hauv lub sij hawm luv luv, tus nqi thauj khoom yuav hloov pauv me ntsis vim qhov kev tshem tawm ntawm cov nkoj tso tseg, tab sis tag nrho cov kev poob qis yog qhov tseeb. Cov lag luam nrog cov khoom uas tau teem caij nkoj mus rau Middle East thiab Europe tuaj yeem tsim nyog ncua sijhawm teem sijhawm tos kom txo nqi, thaum lub sijhawm ntev - cov neeg siv khoom cog lus tuaj yeem rov sib tham dua cov nqi nyiam nrog cov neeg nqa khoom raws li qhov xwm txheej tshiab ntawm kev ua lag luam.
